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大船一路下滑 中小型船走升
時(shí)間:2017年02月11日   作者:佚名  點(diǎn)擊次數(shù): 【字體:
中國(guó)進(jìn)口干散貨運(yùn)輸市場(chǎng)周度報(bào)告(2017.2.9)

節(jié)后中國(guó)進(jìn)口干散貨運(yùn)輸市場(chǎng)呈現(xiàn)“大船大跌,中小船小升”走勢(shì),綜合指數(shù)、運(yùn)價(jià)指數(shù)和租金指數(shù)延續(xù)上周下滑趨勢(shì),但跌幅收窄。2月9日,上海航運(yùn)交易所發(fā)布的中國(guó)進(jìn)口干散貨綜合指數(shù)(CDFI)為518.79點(diǎn),運(yùn)價(jià)指數(shù)為554.69點(diǎn),租金指數(shù)為464.95點(diǎn),分別較上周五下跌4.3%,2.6%和7.1%。

  海岬型船市場(chǎng)

  本周海岬型船市場(chǎng)量?jī)r(jià)齊跌,租金跌幅較上周明顯放大。中國(guó)北方至澳大利亞往返航線航次期租成交稀少,日租金從上周五6400美元加速回落至4500美元左右。周四,上海航運(yùn)交易所發(fā)布的中國(guó)北方至澳大利亞往返航線TCT日租金為4550美元,較上周五大跌28.3%。近期西澳大利亞港口遭遇臺(tái)風(fēng),港口被迫關(guān)閉,且礦商多數(shù)不在市場(chǎng),太平洋市場(chǎng)船運(yùn)成交低迷,運(yùn)價(jià)一路探底。澳大利亞至中國(guó)的鐵礦石航線成交運(yùn)價(jià)較上周跌去近50美分,2月中下旬的受載期,西澳大利亞至青島航線成交價(jià)為4.50美元/噸。周四,澳大利亞丹皮爾至青島航線運(yùn)價(jià)為4.430美元/噸,較上周五下跌9.1%。大西洋市場(chǎng),前半周太平洋大批空放運(yùn)力集結(jié)大西洋市場(chǎng),礦商出貨較少,運(yùn)價(jià)跌破10美元/噸大關(guān)。后半周租家集中進(jìn)場(chǎng)拿船,市場(chǎng)成交陸續(xù)放出,成交運(yùn)價(jià)明顯反彈。9日成交記錄顯示,巴西圖巴朗至青島航線,2月受載期,成交價(jià)為10.75美元/噸,3月受載期10.90美元/噸。南非薩爾達(dá)尼亞至青島航線,2月底受載期,成交價(jià)為7.25美元/噸,3月上旬受載期7.50美元/噸。周四,巴西圖巴朗至青島航線運(yùn)價(jià)為10.617美元/噸,較上周五下跌6.2%;南非薩爾達(dá)尼亞至青島航線運(yùn)價(jià)為7.25美元/噸,較上周五下跌12.5%。

  巴拿馬型船市場(chǎng)

  巴拿馬型船市場(chǎng)租金、運(yùn)價(jià)延續(xù)上周反彈走勢(shì)。節(jié)后內(nèi)貿(mào)市場(chǎng)行情持續(xù)向好,南美糧食船運(yùn)預(yù)期高漲,太平洋空放至南美市場(chǎng)運(yùn)力增多,印尼煤炭出貨不暢、價(jià)格上漲導(dǎo)致澳大利亞煤炭詢盤增多,太平洋市場(chǎng)租金和運(yùn)價(jià)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                單邊上行。8日成交記錄顯示,8.3萬載重噸船,2月7日新加坡交船,經(jīng)西澳,新加坡-日本還船,成交日租金為8500美元。周四,中國(guó)南方經(jīng)東澳大利亞至中國(guó)往返航線TCT日租金為5688美元,較上周五上漲8.0%。印尼薩馬林達(dá)至中國(guó)廣州航線運(yùn)價(jià)為4.541美元/噸,較上周五上漲6.0%。大西洋市場(chǎng),美灣糧食船運(yùn)難覓蹤跡,南美天氣狀況良好,新豆收割進(jìn)度快于去年,市場(chǎng)大豆出貨提前,船運(yùn)成交穩(wěn)定,運(yùn)價(jià)緩步上行。9日成交記錄顯示,8.2萬載重噸船,受載期2月15-25日,南美東海岸交船,新加坡-日本還船,成交日租金為9200美元/天,外加42萬美元空放補(bǔ)貼。周四,巴西桑托斯至中國(guó)北方港口糧食航線運(yùn)價(jià)為24.217美元/噸,較上周五上漲2.5%。據(jù)悉,國(guó)際谷物理事會(huì)上調(diào)巴西大豆產(chǎn)量和出口量預(yù)期:2017/18年度(2月到次年1月)大豆產(chǎn)量預(yù)計(jì)為1.025億噸,上年為9540萬噸;大豆出口預(yù)計(jì)為5730萬噸,上年為5160萬噸。

  超靈便型船市場(chǎng)

  本周超靈便型船市場(chǎng)止跌回升。太平洋市場(chǎng),節(jié)后鋼材出口、鎳礦進(jìn)口增加,加之巴拿馬型船市場(chǎng)好轉(zhuǎn)提振市場(chǎng)活躍度,租金、運(yùn)價(jià)雙雙上行。周四,中國(guó)南方至印尼往返航線TCT日租金為4522美元,較上周五上漲8.3%;印尼塔巴尼奧至中國(guó)廣州航線煤炭運(yùn)價(jià)為5.052美元/噸,較上周五上漲4.8%;菲律賓蘇里高至中國(guó)日照航線鎳礦運(yùn)價(jià)為5.308美元/噸,較上周五上漲4.7%。2月4日,菲律賓因鎳礦環(huán)保政策要求關(guān)停和暫停運(yùn)營(yíng)20家鎳礦山,預(yù)計(jì)將打亂該國(guó)雨季結(jié)束后的鎳礦出口節(jié)奏。

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